Most of the news that hits the crypto market every day changes nothing. A small part of it moves prices for minutes. And a few headlines per year start moves of 10%, 20% or more. The hard part is telling these three groups apart in real time, before the price has already reacted.
People with years of market experience do this by memory: they read a headline and remember a similar episode. The Resolutes brain does the same in a structured way. It keeps a memory of the main events since bitcoin's early days and compares every relevant news item with the closest case in history.
Events that shaped the market
- 2014, Mt. Gox: the largest exchange of the time collapsed after a hack and bitcoin entered a long bear market.
- March 2020, Covid: in two days bitcoin lost close to half its value, then started one of its strongest rallies.
- February 2022, Ukraine invasion: a fall of about 8% on the day, followed by a rebound of roughly 15% within the following week.
- May 2022, Terra/LUNA: an algorithmic stablecoin broke and dragged the whole market down for weeks.
- November 2022, FTX: the collapse of the exchange took Solana down about 60% in a few days.
- January 2024, bitcoin spot ETFs: approval was followed by a fall of around 15% before the rally, a classic sell the news.
- August 2024, yen carry trade: global markets fell together and bitcoin dropped about 15% in hours.
What history teaches an engine
Three patterns appear again and again. First, scheduled events, such as inflation releases and central bank decisions, rarely cause lasting damage when they come out as expected. Second, problems inside the crypto system itself, such as exchange failures, hacks and network halts, are the most dangerous for whoever holds the affected asset. Third, geopolitical shocks usually cause a sharp initial fall and a fast partial recovery.
These patterns turn into concrete decisions. A preview of US inflation does not justify stopping the engine. A halt on the Solana network does. A military escalation between major powers justifies a short pause and a temporary shift of the portfolio towards cash.
How the decision works
- Every 3 minutes the engine collects news from public sources and exchange announcements.
- A fast model filters what is relevant to the assets in the portfolio.
- The most capable model compares each relevant item with history and with the current price, the fear and greed index and the economic calendar.
- It decides whether to pause, for how long, and whether to tilt the portfolio towards more coins (upside bias) or more dollars (downside bias) for a few hours.
- Every decision is recorded with the reason and the historical case used, and appears in your dashboard.
What the AI does not do
It does not predict prices and it does not bet everything on one scenario. The bias moves the portfolio from half coin and half dollar to at most 65% on one side, and it expires on its own in up to 24 hours. Most of the result still comes from the small buy and sell orders placed around the price.
